A research-backed AI scenario forecast.
We predict that the impact of superhuman AI over the next decade will be enormous, exceeding that of the Industrial Revolution.
We wrote a scenario that represents our best guess about what that might look like. It’s informed by trend extrapolations, wargames, expert feedback, experience at OpenAI, and previous forecasting successes.

So much hype in this one, coming from people who (likely) have very narrow domain knowledge and trying to make hype-y predictions for humanity. Such as a footnote that reduces human brains to equivalents of "compute" as X FLOPS, and comparing "AI" to multiples of human brains as a measure of "superintelligence"...